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Former investment bank FX trader: News trading and second order thinking part 2/2

Former investment bank FX trader: News trading and second order thinking part 2/2
Thanks for all the upvotes and comments on the previous pieces:
From the first half of the news trading note we learned some ways to estimate what is priced in by the market. We learned that we are trading any gap in market expectations rather than the result itself. A good result when the market expected a fantastic result is disappointing! We also looked at second order thinking. After all that, I hope the reaction of prices to events is starting to make more sense to you.

Before you understand the core concepts of pricing in and second order thinking, price reactions to events can seem mystifying at times
We'll add one thought-provoking quote. Keynes (that rare economist who also managed institutional money) offered this analogy. He compared selecting investments to a beauty contest in which newspaper readers would write in with their votes and win a prize if their votes most closely matched the six most popularly selected women across all readers:
It is not a case of choosing those (faces) which, to the best of one’s judgment, are really the prettiest, nor even those which average opinions genuinely thinks the prettiest. We have reached the third degree where we devote our intelligences to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be.
Trading is no different. You are trying to anticipate how other traders will react to news and how that will move prices. Perhaps you disagree with their reaction. Still, if you can anticipate what it will be you would be sensible to act upon it. Don't forget: meanwhile they are also trying to anticipate what you and everyone else will do.

Part II
  • Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases
  • Data surprise index
  • Using recent events to predict future reactions
  • Buy the rumour, sell the fact
  • The trimming position effect
  • Reversals
  • Some key FX releases

Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases

The majority of releases are quantitative. All that means is there’s some number. Like unemployment figures or GDP.
Historic results provide interesting context. We are looking below the Australian unemployment rate which is released monthly. If you plot it out a few years back you can spot a clear trend, which got massively reversed. Knowing this trend gives you additional information when the figure is released. In the same way prices can trend so do economic data.

A great resource that's totally free to use
This makes sense: if for example things are getting steadily better in the economy you’d expect to see unemployment steadily going down.
Knowing the trend and how much noise there is in the data gives you an informational edge over lazy traders.
For example, when we see the spike above 6% on the above you’d instantly know it was crazy and a huge trading opportunity since a) the fluctuations month on month are normally tiny and b) it is a huge reversal of the long-term trend.
Would all the other AUDUSD traders know and react proportionately? If not and yet they still trade, their laziness may be an opportunity for more informed traders to make some money.
Tradingeconomics.com offers really high quality analysis. You can see all the major indicators for each country. Clicking them brings up their history as well as an explanation of what they show.
For example, here’s German Consumer Confidence.

Helpful context
There are also qualitative events. Normally these are speeches by Central Bankers.
There are whole blogs dedicated to closely reading such texts and looking for subtle changes in direction or opinion on the economy. Stuff like how often does the phrase "in a good place" come up when the Chair of the Fed speaks. It is pretty dry stuff. Yet these are leading indicators of how each member may vote to set interest rates. Ed Yardeni is the go-to guy on central banks.

Data surprise index

The other thing you might look at is something investment banks produce for their customers. A data surprise index. I am not sure if these are available in retail land - there's no reason they shouldn't be but the economic calendars online are very basic.
You’ll remember we talked about data not being good or bad of itself but good or bad relative to what was expected. These indices measure this difference.
If results are consistently better than analysts expect then you’ll see a positive number. If they are consistently worse than analysts expect a negative number. You can see they tend to swing from positive to negative.

Mean reversion at its best! Data surprise indices measure how much better or worse data came in vs forecast
There are many theories for this but in general people consider that analysts herd around the consensus. They are scared to be outliers and look ‘wrong’ or ‘stupid’ so they instead place estimates close to the pack of their peers.
When economic conditions change they may therefore be slow to update. When they are wrong consistently - say too bearish - they eventually flip the other way and become too bullish.
These charts can be interesting to give you an idea of how the recent data releases have been versus market expectations. You may try to spot the turning points in macroeconomic data that drive long term currency prices and trends.

Using recent events to predict future reactions

The market reaction function is the most important thing on an economic calendar in many ways. It means: what will happen to the price if the data is better or worse than the market expects?
That seems easy to answer but it is not.
Consider the example of consumer confidence we had earlier.
  • Many times the market will shrug and ignore it.
  • But when the economic recovery is predicated on a strong consumer it may move markets a lot.
Or consider the S&P index of US stocks (Wall Street).
  • If you get good economic data that beats analyst estimates surely it should go up? Well, sometimes that is certainly the case.
  • But good economic data might result in the US Central Bank raising interest rates. Raising interest rates will generally make the stock market go down!
So better than expected data could make the S&P go up (“the economy is great”) or down (“the Fed is more likely to raise rates”). It depends. The market can interpret the same data totally differently at different times.
One clue is to look at what happened to the price of risk assets at the last event.
For example, let’s say we looked at unemployment and it came in a lot worse than forecast last month. What happened to the S&P back then?

2% drop last time on a 'worse than expected' number ... so it it is 'better than expected' best guess is we rally 2% higher
So this tells us that - at least for our most recent event - the S&P moved 2% lower on a far worse than expected number. This gives us some guidance as to what it might do next time and the direction. Bad number = lower S&P. For a huge surprise 2% is the size of move we’d expect.
Again - this is a real limitation of online calendars. They should show next to the historic results (expected/actual) the reaction of various instruments.

Buy the rumour, sell the fact

A final example of an unpredictable reaction relates to the old rule of ‘Buy the rumour, sell the fact.’ This captures the tendency for markets to anticipate events and then reverse when they occur.

Buy the rumour, sell the fact
In short: people take profit and close their positions when what they expected to happen is confirmed.
So we have to decide which driver is most important to the market at any point in time. You obviously cannot ask every participant. The best way to do it is to look at what happened recently. Look at the price action during recent releases and you will get a feel for how much the market moves and in which direction.

Trimming or taking off positions

One thing to note is that events sometimes give smart participants information about positioning. This is because many traders take off or reduce positions ahead of big news events for risk management purposes.
Imagine we see GBPUSD rises in the hour before GDP release. That probably indicates the market is short and has taken off / flattened its positions.

The price action before an event can tell you about speculative positioning
If GDP is merely in line with expectations those same people are likely to add back their positions. They avoided a potential banana skin. This is why sometimes the market moves on an event that seemingly was bang on consensus.
But you have learned something. The speculative market is short and may prove vulnerable to a squeeze.

Two kinds of reversals

Fairly often you’ll see the market move in one direction on a release then turn around and go the other way.
These are known as reversals. Traders will often ‘fade’ a move, meaning bet against it and expect it to reverse.

Logical reversals

Sometimes this happens when the data looks good at first glance but the details don’t support it.
For example, say the headline is very bullish on German manufacturing numbers but then a minute later it becomes clear the company who releases the data has changed methodology or believes the number is driven by a one-off event. Or maybe the headline number is positive but buried in the detail there is a very negative revision to previous numbers.
Fading the initial spike is one way to trade news. Try looking at what the price action is one minute after the event and thirty minutes afterwards on historic releases.

Crazy reversals


Some reversals don't make sense
Sometimes a reversal happens for seemingly no fundamental reason. Say you get clearly positive news that is better than anyone expects. There are no caveats to the positive number. Yet the price briefly spikes up and then falls hard. What on earth?
This is a pure supply and demand thing. Even on bullish news the market cannot sustain a rally. The market is telling you it wants to sell this asset. Try not to get in its way.

Some key releases

As we have already discussed, different releases are important at different times. However, we’ll look at some consistently important ones in this final section.

Interest rates decisions

These can sometimes be unscheduled. However, normally the decisions are announced monthly. The exact process varies for each central bank. Typically there’s a headline decision e.g. maintain 0.75% rate.
You may also see “minutes” of the meeting in which the decision was reached and a vote tally e.g. 7 for maintain, 2 for lower rates. These are always top-tier data releases and have capacity to move the currency a lot.
A hawkish central bank (higher rates) will tend to move a currency higher whilst a dovish central bank (lower rates) will tend to move a currency lower.
A central banker speaking is always a big event

Non farm payrolls

These are released once per month. This is another top-tier release that will move all USD pairs as well as equities.
There are three numbers:
  • The headline number of jobs created (bigger is better)
  • The unemployment rate (smaller is better)
  • Average hourly earnings (depends)
Bear in mind these headline numbers are often off by around 75,000. If a report comes in +/- 25,000 of the forecast, that is probably a non event.
In general a positive response should move the USD higher but check recent price action.
Other countries each have their own unemployment data releases but this is the single most important release.

Surveys

There are various types of surveys: consumer confidence; house price expectations; purchasing managers index etc.
Each one basically asks a group of people if they expect to make more purchases or activity in their area of expertise to rise. There are so many we won’t go into each one here.
A really useful tool is the tradingeconomics.com economic indicators for each country. You can see all the major indicators and an explanation of each plus the historic results.

GDP

Gross Domestic Product is another big release. It is a measure of how much a country’s economy is growing.
In general the market focuses more on ‘advance’ GDP forecasts more than ‘final’ numbers, which are often released at the same time.
This is because the final figures are accurate but by the time they come around the market has already seen all the inputs. The advance figure tends to be less accurate but incorporates new information that the market may not have known before the release.
In general a strong GDP number is good for the domestic currency.

Inflation

Countries tend to release measures of inflation (increase in prices) each month. These releases are important mainly because they may influence the future decisions of the central bank, when setting the interest rate.
See the FX fundamentals section for more details.

Industrial data

Things like factory orders or or inventory levels. These can provide a leading indicator of the strength of the economy.
These numbers can be extremely volatile. This is because a one-off large order can drive the numbers well outside usual levels.
Pay careful attention to previous releases so you have a sense of how noisy each release is and what kind of moves might be expected.

Comments

Often there is really good stuff in the comments/replies. Check out 'squitstoomuch' for some excellent observations on why some news sources are noisy but early (think: Twitter, ZeroHedge). The Softbank story is a good recent example: was in ZeroHedge a day before the FT but the market moved on the FT. Also an interesting comment on mistakes, which definitely happen on breaking news, and can cause massive reversals.

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Learn More About the Latest Forex Tools

These FX trading tools lets the user take their own algorithms and strategies and run them together. It allows for algorithmic strategy building along with no need for coding knowledge.

For anyone that wishes to formalise their style of trading using algorithms.

It offers:

• A simple to use drag and drop interface
• Ability to connect technical indicators and math functions
• Templates that are easy to customise
• The ability to implement strategies for platforms including cTrader and MT4
• Both videos and e-book for those just starting out

VPS

Want an FX trading tool that will be online 24/7? That's just what VPS (Virtual Private Server) is capable of. It's a remote computer made available to traders that are algorithmic. It gives the option of complete automation for trading, the terminal doesn't even have to stay running. The main benefit of this Fx trading tool is no interruptions. Expect lowered latency and zero down time!

No reboots and protection of EAs are two benefits that have professionals using VPS more often than ever. Even set up will go on without a hitch using an easy step-by-step guide. Of course, having professionals set it up ensures that it's done right, and that traders are trained accordingly.

The Economic Calendar

A simple to use economic calendar is a priceless FX trading tool. It allows the trader to plan his or her day by the minute. Take control of currently released and previous reports that have been released as well as volatility generated and consensus forecasts. Knowing upcoming events that will happen in just the next few hours as well as days, weeks and months gives one an edge on other traders.

Many are happy to know that there are automatic updates and live views of released event data. The ability to view previous events and analyse their effect on the market is invaluable and could easily make for better trades.

Ease of Use

No matter which economic calendar is chosen, one will see all the scheduled events broken down for the day at hand. By selecting an individual event, one will get even more information and data that can help make more than informed decisions on trading.

Expect to see how much time is left until the next event, as well as those that have already happened. Expected volatility is presented as well as prior percentages and an actual consensus. All of these benefits will help anyone make the most informed decisions possible.

Mobile Apps

The Forex calendar is customisable so only what one wants to be informed of is seen. This makes it easy for beginners, and less stressful for experienced traders. One can change the time zone, country, category and volatility level to get detailed results that cater to their needs.

Staying up-to-date on all the latest developments is easy with mobile apps for both Android and Apple devices. The calendar app can also be downloaded so that wherever one goes they have access to whatever information they need.

Conclusion

These are just a few of the FX trading tools available on the market. Aligning with experts in Forex is a smart way to ensure that one is getting the best setup for their personal trading needs and style. Forex can be a complicated platform for trade, but it can also be simple when the right tools and help are obtained.
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What is the difference between the MT4 and MT5 forex trading platforms?

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Metatrader 5 uses a programming language called MQL5 as opposed to the MQL4 used by Metatrader 4. The exciting thing about MQL5 is that it allows “black box” programming which, in a nutshell, means that it is easier to program and so will logically be a better framework for users and developers of trading robots and other expert advisors.
However, MetaQuotes expanded this capability into MQL4 in 2014, so it is not a difference between the platforms any more, although there is a likelihood that if the language is upgraded at some time in the future, MetaQuotes will not extend any upgrades into MQL4 as well as MQL5
It should be noted that there is no backwards compatibility. Programs written for Metatrader 4 cannot run on Metatrader 5. This can be a serious drawback for traders who were wishing to “upgrade”, and is a key reason why such a change shouldn’t be seen as an upgrade.
It is true that Metatrader 5 retains two key programming-related advantages over Metatrader 4. Firstly, its back testing functions where you can test programmed trading strategies execute at a much faster speed, which is a feature that can save you a lot of time if you are the kind of trader who needs to run a large number of back tests. It also allows simultaneous multi-currency pair back testing. Together this can speed up back testing procedures immeasurably.
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We built a fee solution for you, and are looking for feedback.

Hey guys, I'm from a company called Morpher. Our goal has been to use blockchain to solve different financial issues, and most notably figure out how to make trading better. My own vendetta however has been to make daytrading more feasible.
I traded for a long time across lots of markets; I've done outright equity trading, options trading, Forex (A Booked and B Booked).
Retail investors face a lot of obstacles in trading; big spreads, high fees, and limitation with time.
Only with Morpher can you short TSLA on a Saturday afternoon with $5.
Now we launched our virtual trading. Got some nice press from Forbes and Cointelegraph earlier this year. What we really want to do next is to work with traders so that we can improve our platform and add all the features that you want to see. We've built the bare bones, and now tell us what we can do to make this perfect! Heres the link to check out: Morpher.
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Young adults all starting to trade? Scam or legit?

Hello,
Firstly I'd like to apologise for the shitty title, that's something that I'm not good at.
I'm a 22 year old from the UK and have noticed that there seems to be an epidemic of young people, around the age of 18-23 that seem to be getting into trading. Many of my friends, and friends of friends, all seem to be getting involved in this. I enjoy finance and have been educated myself through university and doing my own research on how to invest effectively and what not. Over the last 2 or 3 years, I've seen so many people getting into trading. Most people seem to be trading binary options on the forex market. Some I am unaware what they deal with but I'm pretty sure it's still trading currencies.
I've swayed away from joining these as I see random people on social media trying to encourage other random people to join - which to me comes across as almost like a pyramid scheme. But yeah, I'm wondering, like, what's the catch to this? I mean so many people seem to be joining these, and writing things like "Trader" on their social media accounts and what not. My assumption is that they wouldn't be advertising/bragging if they lose money right? So are these things actually profitable? Many people I know who have got into this type of trading are quite smart, at least academically, which makes me question as to whether it's a scam or not. I mean as far as I know, most of these don't really require any prior knowledge of investing. I've studied a lot on investing over the last few years, and quite a bit about different equity trading strategies such as futures, options etc. and I still feel there's so much more to learn before I start investing.
I just want peoples thoughts on this matter. Perhaps my description may not be the best. I don't know if I'm allowed to mention it so apologies if I'm not, but the two most common brokers, if one may call it that, seem to be called "DCT" and "TRADiNC FX". Please let me know if I'm not allowed to mention their names so that I can remove it.
Cheers!
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Quant Funds' Poor Performance May Not Be Temporary - Bloomberg

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Quant Funds' Poor Performance May Not Be Temporary Satyajit Das is a former banker, whom Bloomberg named one of the world's 50 most influential financial figures in 2014. His latest book is "A Banquet of Consequences" (published in North America and India as "The Age of Stagnation"). He is also the author of "Extreme Money" and "Traders, Guns & Money."
 Read more opinion SHARE THIS ARTICLEAlgorithms may not perform better than humans. Photographer: Bryan R. Smith/AFP/Getty ImagesPhotographer: Bryan R. Smith/AFP/Getty ImagesLike alchemists seeking to transform base metals into gold, asset managers are constantly seeking the perfect formula for investment success. In recent years, the search has focused on proprietary quantitative strategies, involving rule-based investments. The genre is ill-defined and marketed under different names, including factor investing, risk parity, smart beta and so forth. Whatever the rubric, “quant” funds now h..... 
Continue reading at: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-01-19/quant-funds-poor-performance-may-not-be-temporary
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FXPay ICO Review

FXPay ICO Review
The FX market is the largest and most liquid market in the world. Open 24 hours a day, five days a week, As the market is largely decentralised – although central banks like the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve ultimately maintain the liquidity and price of world currencies – differences exist between the prices offered by different banks. As well as setting the rates for currencies, central banks control all information relating to the global supply and demand of currencies. This means that the same organisations that control supply, also indirectly control demand.

https://preview.redd.it/yobo400nbmi11.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c41dd6994880ed2e1b1e309ea09e125eafeb15a6

What is FXPay

FXPay is an exciting and highly prospective business opportunity that brings innovative technology to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market.

FXPay Features

- Partnerships
FXPay has formed a partnership with prominent brokers who act as facilitators and providers of Forex. Through this partnership, cash back bonuses can be redeemed for Forex credit. This credit can then be used in the market.
- Utility Coin
FXP is an essential utility coin which will continue to appreciate in value as usage increases in the forex market and use FXP the numerous transaction process.
- Payment Gateway
FXPay acts as a payment gateway system for the Forex industry, the world’s largest financial market.
- ERC20 Token
FXP is an ERC20 token that operates on the FXP is an ERC20 token that operates on the Ethereum network, one of the most robust and reliable blockchain technology platforms.
- Smart Contracts
Utilization of smart contracts which save customers up to 90% when compared to current payment structures.
- Liquidity Provider
FXPay Inc. will be able to bypass middlemen and maintain an advantaged presence on the platform by becoming their own liquidity provider.
- Bonus
A cash back bonus in Forex credit to private and pre-ICO participators who join the FXPay community.
- Market Integration
FXP is an essential utility coin which will FXPay merges with the fastest growing crypto-market established and the highly lucrative forex market.
- Debit card
FXPay has partnered with MasterCard/VISA to issue an FXP debit card that can be used for transactions worldwide.
- Social Wallet
FXPay has developed a mobile application for the storage and transfer of FXP and Forex credit.
- Mirror Trading
A method in Forex trading that enables traders to ‘mirror’ strategies developed by other experienced Forex traders.

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FXPay Mission

  • FXPay Inc. aims to create a large, international, eco-friendly community on a digital platform that is made to meet the demands of Forex liquidity providers and traders.
  • The primary focus will be premium brokers who require a new transaction method which is made cheaper and faster through the use of blockchain technology.
  • FXPay Inc. aims to expand on this becoming their own premium broker.
  • This will allow clients to freely invest in the Forex market with their token.
  • This will provide a platform with both established users and significant daily volumes, which will steadily increase the price over time.

Roadmap


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FXPay Team


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Token Distribution

The supply of FXP Tokens is capped of 500 million, and is allocated as follows:-
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ICO Details


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Finally

FXPay believes They can intelligently mitigate risk and increase the speed of transactions in the Forex market through the utilization of its FXP token, an ERC20 token based on Ethereum blockchain technology.
✅Website: https://fxpay.io/ ✅Whitepaper: https://fxpay.io/pdf/FXPAY_V.1.4.pdf
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FXPay will act as its own Premium Broker

FXPay will act as its own Premium Broker

https://preview.redd.it/q8x83mp71aj11.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=aa6b3e01505cba4dac4671f620490c20c649649e
The foreign exchange market (Forex, FX, or currency market) is a global decentralized or over-the-counter (OTC) market for the trading of currencies. This market determines the foreign exchange rate. It includes all aspects of buying, selling and exchanging currencies at current or determined prices. In terms of trading volume, it is by far the largest market in the world, followed by the Credit market.
The currency market is considered to be the largest financial market with over $5 trillion in daily transactions, which is more than the futures and equity markets combined.

FXPay Target

FXPay basically aims to address the current inefficiencies within the market and to provide cost-saving solutions to brokers, traders, and liquidity providers with proper utilization of the blockchain technology, Fxpay create a platform where traders can convert their fiat currency to fxpay token to continue to trade when the market has shut down for the week in other decentralized exchange to maximize profit.

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The Mission

Until now, brokers have had to approach liquidity providers to provide them with liquidity. They can then offer this to their customers. In the future, FXPay will act as its own Premium Broker. Offering brokers the ability to purchase FXP at the prevailing market price, plus a discount. This provides leverage to brokers that choose to use our platform. Brokers can choose to manage their own risk and profit by using their leverage and deciding how much of their FXP they would like to allocate to traders.

FXPay Features

- The online FXPay wallet works smart for depositing and transferring your FXP and credit online.
- Offers an Eco friendly community of premium investors who facilitate the Forex trading through partnership and contributes redeemable cash back bonuses for the use of Forex credits.
- Offers a medium of a speedy and risk free conversion of flat currencies into FXP tokens.
- One of the most secured gateway of payment for its traders online.
- No middle man involved as the company takes full control as its own liquidity provider.
- Its smart contracts saves you 90% of your digital ledger with a smart legal embedding.
- Every private and pre-ICO participator of the FXPay community can enjoy this bonus as Forex credit.

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The Conclusion

In relation to the FX industry, one of the main ways in which blockchain will have an impact is in terms of decentralisation. As blockchain is a reliable, permanent way to recorded information – be that transactions, currency prices, or anything else – it offers the FX industry the unique opportunity to decentralise record keeping and increase the availability of the information being stored.
As well as giving more power to smaller traders and startups, this is giving individuals and companies the ability to exchange money peer to peer rather than going through central banks, something that could really change the way the industry operates.
As blockchain grows, it’s likely that the technology will be adopted by central banks and other major financial institutions. This will help to make the FX industry more efficient and more open and will change the way companies, banks and individuals trade currency for good. With new innovations happening every day, the future of blockchain is more exciting than ever.

Project Details
Bitcointalk ANN: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3851151
Website: https://fxpay.io/
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The XTRD Megathread

What is XTRD?

XTRD is a technology company that are introducing a new infrastructure that would allow banks, hedge funds, and large institutional traders to easily access cryptocurrency markets.
XTRD is launching three separate products in sequential stages to solve the ongoing problems caused by having so many disparate markets. Firstly a unified FIX API followed by XTRD Dark Pools and finally the XTRD Single Point of Access or SPA.
Our goal is to build trading infrastructure in the cyptospace and become one of the first full service shops in the cryptocurrency markets for large traders and funds.

What are the industry issues?

COMPLEX WEB OF EXCHANGES. A combination of differing KYC policies, means of funding, interfaces and APIs results in a fragmented patchwork of liquidity for cryptocurrencies. Trading in an automated fashion with full awareness of best pricing and current liquidity necessitates the opening and use of accounts on multiple exchanges, coding to multiple API’s, following varying funding and withdrawal procedures. Once those hurdles are cleared, market participants must convert fiat currency to BTC or ETH and then forward the ETH on to an exchange that may not accept fiat, necessitating yet another transaction to convert back to fiat. Major concerns for market participants range from unmitigated slippage and counterparty risk to hacking prevention and liquidity.
HIGH FEES. Execution costs are even more of a factor. Typical exchange commissions are in the 0.1% – 0.25% range per transaction (10 to 25 basis points), but the effective fees are much higher when taking into bid and ask spreads maintained by the exchanges. As most exchanges are unregulated, there is generally no central authority or regulator to examine internal exchange orders that separate proprietary activity from customer activity and ensure fair pricing.
THIN LIQUIDITY. A large institutional order, representing a sizable percentage of daily volume can move the market for a product, and related products in an exchange by a factor of 5-10%. That means a single order to buy $1,000,000 worth of bitcoin can cost an extra $50,000-$100,000 per transaction given a lack of liquidity if not managed correctly and executed on only one exchange. By way of comparison, similar trades on FX exchanges barely move markets a fraction of a percent; those price changes cost traders money, and deter investment.

What are the XTRD solutions?

FIX API
An API is an “Application Programming Interface”, a set of rules that computer programs use to communicate. FIX stands for “Financial Information eXchange”, the API standard used by most financial organizations as the intermediary protocol to communicate amongst disparate systems such as market data, execution, trade reporting, and order entry for the past 25 years.XTRD is fixing the problem of having 100 different APIs for 100 exchanges by creating a single FIX based API for market data and execution – the same FIX API that all current financial institutions utilize.XTRD will leverage our data center presences in DC3 Chicago and NY4 New Jersey to host FIX trading clients and reduce their trading latencies to single milliseconds, a time acceleration of 100x when it comes to execution vs internet. More infrastructure and private worldwide internet lines will be added in 2018 and beyond to enable secure, low latency execution for all XTRD clients, FIX and PRO.
XTRD PRO
XTRD PRO is a professional trading platform that will fix the basic problems with trading across crypto exchanges – the need to open multiple web pages, having to click around multiple windows, only being able to use basic order types, and not seeing all your positions, trades, and market data in one place.XTRD PRO will be standalone, downloadable, robust end-to-end encrypted software that will consolidate all market data from exchanges visually into one order book, provide a consolidated position and order view across all your exchange accounts, and enable client side orders not available on exchanges – keyboard macro shortcuts, VWAP/TWAP, shaving the bid and offer, hit through 1% of the inside, reserve orders that bid 100 but show 1, SMART order routing to best exchange and intelligent order splicing across exchanges based on execution costs net of fees, OCO and OTO, many others.
XTRD SPA
XTRD SPA is the solution to bridge cross-exchange liquidity issues. XTRD is creating Joint Venture partnerships with trusted cryptocurrency exchanges to provide clients on those exchanges execution across other exchanges where they do not have accounts by leveraging XTRD’s liquidity pools.An order placed by a client at CEX.IO, XTRD’s first JV partner, can be executed by XTRD at a different exchange where there may be a better price or higher liquidity for a digital asset. Subsequently, XTRD will deliver the position to CEX.IO and then CEX.IO will deliver the execution to the client, with XTRD acting as just another market participant at the CEX.IO exchange.XTRD does not take custody of funds, we are a technology partner with exchanges. All local exchange rules, procedures, and AML/KYC policies apply.
XTRD DARK
Institutions and large market participants who have large orders of 100 BTC or more generally must execute across multiple markets, increasing their counterparty risk, paying enormous commissions and spreads, and generally having to deal with the vagaries of the crypto space. Alternatives are OTC brokers that charge multiple percents or private peer-to-peer swaps which are difficult to effectuate unless one is deeply in the space.XTRD is launching XTRD DARK – a dark liquidity pool to trade crypto vs fiat that matches buyers and sellers of large orders, discreetly and anonymously, at a much lower cost. Liquidity is not displayed so large orders do not move thin markets as they would publicly. The liquidity will come from direct XTRD DARK participants as well as aggregation of retail order flow into block orders, XTRD’s own liquidity pools, connections with decentralized exchanges to effectuate liquidity swaps, and OTC broker order flow.XTRD is partnering with a fiat banking providebroker dealer to onboard all XTRD DARK participants for the fiat currency custody side with full KYC/AML procedures.

XTRD Tokenomics

Who is XTRD intended for?

XTRD is mainly aimed at major institutions, hedge funds, algorithmic traders who are currently unable to enter the crypto markets.
These firms include companies such as Divisa Capital run by XTRD Advisor Mushegh Tovmasyan.

XTRD Weekly Updates

Upcoming Events

AMA's

Further AMA's will be coming soon!

XTRD In The Media

Resources

More information will be added to this thread as the project develops.
We are currently looking for key community members to assist in building out this thread.
If you are interested please email [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
submitted by tylerbro77 to XtradeIO [link] [comments]

Thanks for your help over the last year

I have traded forex since last December. I paper traded for almost 3 years prior to that, successfully. I've since tried several strategies, back tests, did my due diligence, managed risk, and everything I could to be a disciplined trader. I've never blown an account but have gotten closer and closer, and have decided that this is not a winnable game for me. The markets are too irrational, unpredictable, and in my opinion are entirely random. (note: "my opinion")
I have decided I will never trade fx again. This is by far my least favorite investment vehicle and I'm done, plain and simple. The market kicked my ass, admittedly, but I did do everything in my ability to do the right thing. I literally baghold 3x ETFs and make substantially more money, decay included, than I do with fx. I've learned a lot, but it is time for me to move on. Thank you guys for all the guidance. There are some smart people in here and I wish you all the best.
submitted by StraightToHell3 to Forex [link] [comments]

Free Trading Signals By FX Pips

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submitted by sannidhyammf to u/sannidhyammf [link] [comments]

Global Visionariez and IML My 30 day Experience

To summarize my experience with the "product." It is 99.9% stalling and wasting your time with shit like this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=za3tUUoj2iQ and hyping their own products. Dudes acting like "whaaaaaaaa" and showing phone screens with profits. Facebook is flooded with these people showing off how their boy "[insert name here]" is selling money and yada yada. Most of the content they post and host is just recruitment hype videos to bring more people in. Seriously... Like all day every day it felt like. Most the videos feature some hipsters and text screenshots of them being like: "OMG I gots some mad pips brah, 100 million pipz lulz #winning [intense sarcasm]."
Do yourself a favor and unfriend anyone who tries to sell you this shit. Because they are not your friend, and they view you as a $35 a month paycheck if you sign up. Most the common stuff you see in groups is people touting the wins, but don't fool yourself... Everyone is keeping their losses quiet because no one wants to make a fool out of themselves. I mean who makes videos of them watching someone else in video chat? Someone who doesn't know what the hell their doing or how to work technology... Which they happen to have some miracle program that will "change" your life. Oh, and the haters, HA you should just ignore them because they all don't like grape koolaide.
TL:DR Oh, look ma some YOLO saying swag fags are saying they can teach me to make mad bread. But it is just a job selling a job selling jobs to other people who in turn will be selling said jobs to others who will do the same.
4/24/16 EDIT This is the kind of shit that constantly keeps popping up in my feeds and spamming my cell phone in texts.
I just got started with Global Visionariez and iMarketsLive, What is next?! First off, Welcome to our family! My name is[removed name of person] Founder of GV, an organization that is changing lives and lifestyles around the globe. It's an honor to have you apart of the revolutionary team where our visions align towards a common cause. We have some of the best leadership hand to hand with the greatest opportunity in the game right now, which makes it a complete power house! The goal is the be able take the average person and have them take the road less travelled towards becoming an entrepreneur and attaining true freedom! The skills you will learn working along side with GV and IML are long lasting skills that you can pass down for generations to come and will help you develop and craft yourself into becoming the best version of yourself. We live by the Triple T's; TRADE. TRAVEL. TRANSFORM. Lifestyle by design. As we believe these are some of the main 3 keys towards freedom and happiness! 📈.✈.🚧.
Let's get started, you just bought your new car, now let's adjust the seats it to how you like it and what you want. The first thing you want to do is be able to get activated on your services and plugged into the sessions.
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📈📉 Want to start trading yourself? It's CRUCIAL to LEARN before you try to EARN trading yourself! Practice, practice, practice before you go LIVE. RULE #1, Don't EVER EVER EVER try to PREDICT the markets yourself, Don't have a gambling mindset! Be smart, Be strategic. Start with a DEMO account until you feel comfortable enough to trade with REAL money (30-90+ DAYS). If you want to start trading your real money deposit and connect with an MIRROR-TRADER [link removed] and trade with Chris Terry during LONDON / NY Sessions! Keep in mind, TRADING is 80% Mental (Psychology) and 20% Fundamental (Skillset) 📚(1) EDUCATE YOURSELF (STUDY more than you TRADE): 🔸 IML EDUCATION: Log into imarketslive.com -> TRADING -> TRADING LIBRARY 🔸 BEGINNERS KNOWLEDGE A-Z: [link removed] ; ⚠COMPLETE Pre-School before trading live 🔸 GVWSA COURSE: [link removed] ($50 one time) 🐾GV WALLSTREET (GVWSA): Train with Quillan Black through his legendary discounted course for IML members ONLY for $50 one time, completely up to you if you would like access, feel free to ask anyone around GV if it was worth it. If you plan to go to the next level trading and marking up charts you want to plug in ASAP! (2) SET UP MT4 (Trading Platform) + IML HARMONIC SCANNER 🔸 Download "MetaTrader 4" through App Store 🔸 Download MT4 / Scanner (Windows) [link removed] 🔸 Download MT4 /Scanner (MAC) [link removed] ⚠ Make sure you go through the Harmonic Scanner Course in IML Backoffice before you start using it. The Harmonic Scanner is primarily a confirmation tool to combine with your own analysis do NOT take trades off of it based of its entry calls, it is not 100% right neither would any software ever be. Use this in the right way and you will rock your world! (3) TRADE and LEARN with C. Terry 🔸 LONDON SESSION (Tues, Wed, Thurs) ⏰ 2am EST - 3am EST [more links removed] 🔸 NEW YORK SESSION (Mon - Fri) FOREX + FUTURES ⏰ 8am EST - 12pm EST [link removed] FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
🗣 Paid sharing a retail service that is teaching you a financially independent skillset and helping you generate wealth in the worst economy? The FACT that you can potentially earn RESIDUAL income by sharing (marketing) a service that you would share for free anyways! The average MILLIONAIRE has 7 streams of income and never puts all of their eggs in one basket, especially throughout your journey of becoming a trader, the comfort of knowing you have a weekly residual income while you are trading in the markets truly powerful! YOUR FIRST GOAL ASAP........PERFECT STORM BONUS IN YOUR FIRST 14 DAYS. How to SHARE: What is Forex?: [link removed] What is IML (Overview): [link removed] Compensation Plan PDF: [link removed] Compensation Plan Video: [link removed] **TAG THE NEWEST MEMBER TO HAVE THEM START OFF THE RIGHT FOOT👇👇👇
edit 2 Removed links from post, I apologize I didn't notice the rule for this subreddit and fixed it before an admin got onto me. =) Edit/update 3* 5-21-16 Been a while now, still end up getting spam texts and other crap in my inbox on social media and email.
submitted by rjrttu86 to Forex [link] [comments]

BLOCKCHAIN IN A NEW TECHNOLOGY!

FXPay BLOCKCHAIN ​​ In NEW TECHNOLOGIES! Today I will acquaint you with the project, BLOCKCHAIN IN A NEW TECHNOLOGY! I am very glad to the idea which they have put forward.
About the company FXPay the First-ever ecosystem of tokens Forex allows to finance, invest and trade on a block lens. FXPay is a fascinating and perspective business opportunity which introduces innovative technologies on the market of foreign currency (Forex). Our purpose - to eliminate the current inefficiency in the market and to provide economic decisions to brokers, traders and suppliers of liquidity. Using technology blockchain, FXPay can reasonably reduce risk for brokers and traders, giving more opportunities and increasing the speed of transactions in the Forex market. FXPay with pride offers our initial offer of a coin on the market and allows investors to become a part of our fascinating new product and a travel. The FXPay platform immediately will begin to solve problems in the current Forex market. Our proposed solution will show material value of a token of FXP. Headquarters Canary Wharf, London
technology FXPay uses linear technology for integration of all hierarchy of monetary and credit branch. FXPay is aimed at providing economically effective decisions for suppliers of liquidity, traders and brokers and for elimination of present inefficiency in branch. FXPay believes that we can reasonably reduce risk and accelerate processing of currency trade operations with use of a token of FXP ERC20 depending on symptoms of BlockGain Ethereum technology. Cards can be exchanged easily for fiat, and fiat can be also converted into FXP tokens. In both cases the token would be very useful to the programmers who are looking for an ideal product in branch. Each block chain is intended for a definite purpose.
Really interesting part of a blokheyn is in how he works in hierarchy, but not through standard model the client server. Before continuing, you want to install tower components which are made for growth. It occurs because their input is more, than what they give. It will be the main source of trade of FXPay.
What is fxpay? FXPay — это a bright and perspective business opportunity which offers advanced technologies in the Forex market. FXPay believes that it can reasonably reduce risk and accelerate trade of FX by means of use of a token of FXP, ERC20 token on the basis of Ethereum block chain.
decision FXP has also introduced the strategy allowing to increase surely token value. Introducing blockchain technology on the foreign exchange market, FXPay can eliminate market failure, still. have the decision. Providing some kind of digital currency for brokers and traders, FXPay provides means by means of which it is easy to convert currency of Fiat into the FXP cards. As soon as he is safely registered on a block chain, he can be transformed to any of our currency pairs. Then traders can utilize the currency credit for entry into the market. As soon as the transaction is finished, traders can trade in the FX credit back in FXP or any other digital currency. Besides, traders can choose the currency credit,
Coin Token Sale: On August 01 — on October 31 FXP ticker Ticker ERC 20 ICO Token the Price is 1,6 USD Trust funds 90,000 ETH Total amount is 500 000 000 000 FXP It is available to sale the Code of 40% White Unknown list client Vasha the account has accepted token for release of 200 000 000 FXP accepts ETH, BTC
team The FXPay team has more than 20 years' experience of development of the software and forex-trading. This experience has given them the chance to identify demand in the market Forex for new technologies, and then to use him. This new trade software works as the Forex and Crypto portal for both markets. He possesses a powerful set of functions and advantages, including a multi-purpose e-wallet, mirror trade and an investment in the debit card in real time. easily to get access to the capital. This purse will be available both to mobile iOS devices, and to Android. Users can send and receive FXP coins, exchange them for FX credit. Use of smart contracts on the FXPay platform can help clients to save up to 90% in comparison with the existing structures of payments on the market.
For more information visit : https://fxpay.io/ Technical documentation; https://fxpay.io/pdf/FXPAY_V.1.4.pdf Twitter: https://twitter.com/fxpayglobal Discussion of bitcoins Subject: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php? topic=3851151
About the author Bitcointalk : dz roknroll27 Bitcointalk Url: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1456356
submitted by RoknRol1 to Crypto_General [link] [comments]

FX Pips- Forex Trading Signals for Beginners by Technical Expert

FX Pips- Forex Trading Signals for Beginners by Technical Expert
Fx Pips offer Forex trading Signals for beginner. Over thousands of Forex trading signals providers, we concentrate on providing quality, cost and efficiency in Forex trading live signals. Our highly skilled expert team of FX pips ensure gain maximum FX volumes for our forex traders. Streamline your forex trading approach with FX Pips providers and start trading smartly.
Our forex recommendations help traders and investors to book profitable forex pips with minimal risk and investment in major currency pair signals include EUR USD, EUR GBP, GBP JPY, GBP USD, USD CAD Signals and much more.
Sign up on http://www.fxpips.co.uk/ to get 15 days FX signals on just $25.
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submitted by sannidhyammf to u/sannidhyammf [link] [comments]

Chainfund — An Introduction to The Effortless Blockchain Investment Platform

Chainfund — An Introduction to The Effortless Blockchain Investment Platform
Chainfund is founded in October 2017 with initial funds of more than US$1million from more than 100 investors and offers a 1-Click investment experience designed to be open and accessible to everyone. Chainfund substantiates their highly ambitious nature with their philosophy — investing in high potential Crypto-assets with long-term values and growth.
Founders Thanh Do and Yann Quelenn possess a high degree of expertise in Computer Science, Entrepreneurship, Quantitative Finance, Economics and FX trading from their background as a Full Stack Software Engineer and Market Strategist for SwissQuote respectively. The founders’ individual expertise perfectly matches one another in the efforts of building Chainfund from the ground up.
The founders’ individual expertise perfectly matches one another in the efforts of building Chainfund from the ground up.
Thanh Do is Chainfund’s CEO. He is a serial entrepreneur, blockchain enthusiast, and fintech software engineer. He has been the founder and CEO of EMVN — top 50 worldwide YouTube network with 1 billion views monthly. He has been a full-stack engineer in Swissquote Bank Switzerland, a leading fintech company in trading markets such as stock, forex, crypto, and eGambling. Thanh graduated as MSc in Computer Science from the prestigious Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), top-12 QS World University Ranking 2018.
Yann Quelenn - Co-founder & CIO
Yann Quelenn is an investment professional with strong technical and financial background. He worked in several institutions such as Swissquote Bank in Switzerland where he was Market Strategist. He was also FX Trader at Banque Privée Edmond de Rothschild and Portfolio Manager at Polaris Investment in Luxembourg. Yann has also a master’s from Bocconi University, one of the most prestigious European university, where he has got a degree in Quantitative Finance and Risk Management. He has been featured in many tier 1 media such as the Guardian, Bloomberg, Reuters and The Financial Times and has already participated in several speaking events.
Chainfund currently offers investors the Dynamic, Extreme, ICO portfolios and the new launched MNODE Fund on a seamless platform which provides:
- exploration to a range of efficiently diversified portfolios
- gateway for securely depositing money and receive your portfolio shares
- collection of ROI by selling shares
Chainfund’s low entry rate appeals to a broader audience. Starting from $1,000, investors will have full control of withdrawals, access to the latest AI risk management algorithms and receive the best proposals and diversificationoptions to maximize returns while mitigating risks by our committed team of finance professionals, experienced fund managers and researchers. All transactions within Chainfund, will be processed through smart contracts, thus ensuring security, transparency and accuracy.

Dynamic Fund

This fund focuses on long-term sustainability whilst exposing sufficient risk, meticulously calculated to capitalise on the overall growth of Crypto-assets based on mainstream adoption potential.
- 40% Allocation always in Top 10 Cryptocurrencies by Market Capitalization.
- Privacy Coins
- Blockchain Infrastructure Platforms
- Utility tokens backed by a real economic model
Dynamic Fund: 40% Allocation always in Top 10 Cryptocurrencies by Market Capitalization

Extreme Fund

This fund portrays the methodology of Value Investing. Focusing on undervalued, high-growth potential coins found lower by ranking in terms of Market Capitalization for maximum returns tempered with realistic risk management. The Extreme Fund possesses a much higher risk-to-reward ratio as compared to Dynamic Fund. The fund will also introduce short-term swing trades to find profits during times of market volatility.
- 10% Allocation in Top 10 Cryptocurrencies by Market Capitalization.
- Privacy Coins
- Blockchain Infrastructure Platforms
- Scalability and Interoperability solutions
- Utility tokens backed by a strong economic model.
- Short-term trades (20%)
Extreme Fund portrays the methodology of Value Investing

ICO Fund

With over $1.3 million has been raised in the Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) market in 2017, Chainfund aims to take advantage of the new method in raising funds and capital by introducing an ICO Fund.
Leveraging from its strong network, Chainfund offers an opportunity for retail investors to participate in private and pre-sales for an ICO, traditionally only available to private accredited investors, venture capitalists and institutions. Through the power of syndication, investors are able gain access to higher bonus structures and benefit from a much higher Return-on-Investment (ROI).
Potential partnerships will be meticulously vetted by our dedicated team of analysts, researchers and financial experts. Investors will be provided with our Due Diligence Report prior to investing. Chainfund also strives to open up more opportunities for its investors in due time as the crypto-market continues to find itself amongst the more established asset classes.

ICO Fund’s recent partnerships & private agreements

MNODE Fund

The Masternode market has grown spontaneously in the past year with over 3 billion market capital and hundreds of other masternode enable coins, Chainfund developed MNODE aiming at leveraging the benefit of this new technology.
MNODE is a tokenized Masternode fund, featuring:
  • 1-click investment experience with all assets are tokenized by a single MASTER token, intuitive platform management
  • Zero fee structure
  • Power of Syndication that enable diversified portfolio and access to maximum bonus rewards
  • Fast reward distribution with rewards are credited to staked wallets bi-weekly
Our private sale for MNODE Fund Starts NOW ! Find out more here or contact us at [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
https://preview.redd.it/7liy1dr9nrh11.png?width=995&format=png&auto=webp&s=5b8d831bd2e9f8f6e5cf0cfe3b88142b9f3abb0a
Yet to come — a glimpse of the future
Chainfund Permissioned Blockchain — secure, auditable, scalable infrastructure to enable seamless experience, full transparency, and instant payment confirmations.
Register here to receive exclusively reports and experience 1-Click investment. Investment starts at $1000.
References:
Join us @ Telegram Global group — https://t.me/chainfund
Read our articles @ Medium — https://medium.com/chainfundch
Follow us @ Chainfund Official Channels:
submitted by IliyaZaki to Chainfund [link] [comments]

FX PIPS Provide Low cost Forex Signals

FX PIPS Provide Low cost Forex Signals
Fx Pips provide low cost Forex Signals in United Kingdom.Over thousands of Forex trading signals providers, we concentrate on providing quality, cost and efficiency in Forex trading live signals. Our expert team of FX pips ensure gain maximum FX volumes for our forex traders. With FX PIPS get the clear, concise and timely currency trading signals for all major pairs. Invest with the best forex trading pips providers and fetch the best returns from your forex investments. Streamline your forex trading approach with FX Pips providers and start trading smartly.
Enroll for a free trial on http://www.fxpips.co.uk/ and get profitable forex trading signals with the best currency pairs like EUUSD, GBP/USD & USD/CAD and much more.
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submitted by sannidhyammf to u/sannidhyammf [link] [comments]

Profitable Forex Trading Signals in United Kingdom

Profitable Forex Trading Signals in United Kingdom
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Choose the effective forex signals best performance

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submitted by fxalerts024 to UkrainainConflict [link] [comments]

GBP/USD Technical & Sentiment Analysis (16 Feb 2014)

Hey guys. I don't usually do GBP/USD, but it's suddenly become one of the most interesting pairs in my opinion, because I believe some very big moves are afoot. I'm going to mostly be looking at the long term view in the context of market positioning, so this might not be all that helpful for scalpers ;)
I want to start with the Daily FX SSI (Speculative Sentiment Index) reading for GBP/USD, which is quite something: http://i.imgur.com/pFcbIij.png (© 2014 DailyFX)
There are 9 traders short for every one long. Basically the entire retail crowd is betting against the trend. This means that the majority of orders in the market will be stop losses near current levels.
Also worth a watch is John Kicklighter's video for the week, focusing on the S&P and GBP/USD: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2014/02/14/Forex_Weighing_Reversals_for_SP_500_USDollar_GBPUSD.html
For those new to this kind of thing, sentiment analysis is just analysis using what you can know about market positioning, and how the market generally "feels" about a currency pair. Usually SSI gives quite reliable indications of when a trend will continue, because the majority of retail traders will start betting against it. Their stops add fuel to the fire when it continues. (This is also why I'm short AUD/USD - 2 traders long to every 1 short. Not extreme yet, but it means there are lots of stops below).
Before I get into too much detail there, here's the weekly chart: http://i.imgur.com/Ef4VRQf.png
(Yes I'm long)
I've put some tentative levels there, but I'll do more precise ones in a minute. As you can see, price is breaking out of a long term wedge. It hasn't quite cleared the range yet, and 1.700 is a massive wall to get over. There will be enormous interest at this level, not to mention some extremely large option barriers.
But I think it will break it eventually. Why I think it will go higher? Well, market positioning for one, but also this:
http://www.cityindex.co.uk/market-analysis/market-news/24551832014/sterling-at-fresh-3-year-highs-eyes-more-gains/?cid=0000215115
Good analysis piece pointing out that GBP/USD is only about 6% away from the 200WMA. Deviations from this average have historically been much larger. Since price is clearly moving away from this level, I believe we can expect quite a large move as the market unwinds its short positioning.
A look at Oanda's orderbook (or the order boards posted at ForexLive) can give us a more precise view of where these orders are sitting:
http://i.imgur.com/FEn4h3O.png
Current Positioning & Open Orders
As you can see the market is severely short, mostly from the last 100 pips or so. 1.6600 is an area where a lot of positions, both long and short, were established.
There are clusters of buy stops above 1.6700 (small), 1.6750 (bigger) and then above 1.6900 there are two large clusters of buy stops.
Further, there are more buy stops above current price than there are sell orders, meaning that there is ample room for price to continue higher. They're mixed in with some mid-weight sell orders around 1.6800, so this is a level that should provide resistance.
Going a bit lower, we find that bids (both those wanting to initiate new positions and those wanting to take profits on short positions) should provide extreme levels of support.
These are in at about every 10-15 pips between 1.6600 and 1.6500, with the largest cluster being at 1.6500. Going on this alone, buying any dips below 1.66 looks really good.
Beware the retracement
Bear in mind that there are sell stops below 1.6700 - these are the weaker longs or those wishing to enter short on a break below the figure. These could accelerate a correction down to 1.6650 quite quickly.
Here's the 4hr chart, with the largest bids and offers put in. You'll notice that they line up quite nicely with just about any other method of calculating S&R. Dashed lines are larger orders, dotted ones smaller. The big box is where there are too many orders to make lines for :P
http://i.imgur.com/C1htngr.png
Hopefully that's helpful.
Now, there's also a fundamental component to consider. The UK's recovery is looking fairly solid, while the market is very quickly losing its patience with the greenback. Over the last quarter my bullish USD bias has evaporated, as it was predicated on the market not having priced in the full effects of the taper. Now that it appears this is not the case, I have no choice but to change my USD bias to neutral/bearish. The recent soft data also indicates that the recovery is lagging that of the UK's quite badly. The market's reaction to positive US data is generally muted, and when something can't rally on good news, it's usually bad news.
Another thing to note is that the DJ FXCM Dollar Index declined throughout the last dip and recovery in the S&P - one of the longest sustained bearish moves in history. It was only half the magnitude of the other declines of this length, but most other 6-7 day consecutive declines in the dollar have preceded much greater bear waves, not recoveries. The logical thing to do is to look for a USD bounce and sell it.
We need look no further than the S&P to see what's happening here:
http://i.imgur.com/YrCT8tA.png (4hr chart with GBP/USD overlaid in white)
Sterling not quite a safe-haven yet. If 1850 goes in S&P, expect GBP/USD to continue higher. However, Daily RSI on both is currently showing bearish divergence (shown on charts - it's a daily RSI despite it being a 4hr chart)
This means that we might head slightly lower before bouncing. Trend line support for the S&P comes in at around 1775, which would imply quite a serious fall in Cable before buyers really step in.
The level I really like? 1.6475 There is a large cluster of buy orders just below 1.6500, which I believe is where the smart money is looking to enter. This move would flush out a lot of weak longs, leaving plenty of space for new positions. Sellers will also be taking a lot of profits off here, giving us a very good chance of a bounce. From there all it will take is a move back above 1.660 to really get moving.
So longer term I would look to start long positions between 1.6600 and 1.6475, with stops below 1.6250 or the 100DMA
Targets would be completely open. I will look to exit the position if and when speculative sentiment drops back to more natural levels, or perhaps even reverses. Stops will be trailed to lock in profit, but not aggressively.
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

HOW TO TRADE CRYPTOCURRENCY: BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM CFD’S ON THE FOREX MARKET

Cryptocurrency Trading is easier than you think, and OctaFX provides a range of tools to make a profit from cryptocurrency into a reality.
If you have any interest in trading and investment at all, it would be hard to miss that cryptocurrency tradingis the hottest ticket in the market at the moment. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and many others have excited investors with the possibility of substantial profits and a completely new way of thinking about what a currency is and how it works.
What Exactly is a Cryptocurrency? Oddly enough, the first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, didn’t start off to create a whole new way of thinking about currency, but as a technology to prevent the same amount of regular electronic cash being sent twice to two different people.
The process of validating transactions to prevent this, via a system known as a blockchain, became known as mining, as those doing the validating received Bitcoins as a reward for validating traditional electronic transactions. These coins soon took on a value of their own, and have now become a trading juggernaut.
What Do You Need to Know About Trading Cryptocurrency? Trading cryptocurrencies don’t require any specialist knowledge, and in fact, it’s not all that different to trading in Forex, commodities or many other markets. Despite its unusual nature, crypto still rises and falls like any other market, and is still subject to predictable external factors in a way that gives you the opportunity to make substantial profits.
It’s especially easy to get into crypto with OctaFX because you can trade Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin in MetaTrader 4 and 5, alongside Forex and commodities. You needn’t rely on guesswork to predict which cryptocurrencies are worth investing in and which aren’t, as our free Trading Signals plugin offers detailed technical analysis and some of the best crypto price predictions in the market.
Low Costs and Buying Power A sensible approach to any sort of investment is to minimize initial outlay to maximize the potential for profit, especially one so volatile as investing in cryptocurrency. OctaFX will set you up well in this regard, by offering some of the lowest spreads in the business, and the opportunity to trade micro-lots as small as 0.01 lot, so you don’t need a huge initial outlay to profit from Bitcoin, Litecoin or Ethereum.
OctaFX will also provide you with added muscle for your crypto trades with free leverage to maximize your profit potential, and there’s no commission to be paid for trading volume, and no deposit or withdrawal fees.
Don’t Miss the Perfect Moment When investing in something quite so volatile as a cryptocurrency, maximizing your profits relies on buying and selling with pinpoint accuracy, at the second the market offers the most potential. OctaFX will allow you to do this thanks to some of the fastest execution on the market.
Buy and sell for the price you see, with no delays, and make deposits and withdrawals instantly. Both fiat currencies and Bitcoin are accepted, without commission or delay, and the process is smooth and completely straightforward. OctaFX also maintains an excellent record of minimizing slippage, with 97.5% of all orders completed without any slippage at all.
How to Predict the Biggest Cryptocurrencies’ Price? So now you’re fully briefed on trading cryptocurrencies, maybe you’d like to know a bit more about the currencies themselves. Three of the biggest, most volatile and most exciting are Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin.
BITCOIN – THE DIGITAL GOLD Bitcoin is the first digital currency, created back in 2009. The main difference from traditional currencies (EUR, USD, JPY, etc) is that transactions are decentralized, highly secure, and what’s more, completely private. Bitcoin is one of the most volatile, discussed and popular instruments among cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin trading mainly happens on news, for example, a bullish trend before Bitcoin forks (this is the separation of Bitcoin when cryptocurrency owners get part of a new crypto). A bearish trend is usually seen after news regarding the ban of Bitcoin in some countries (China, for example). Bitcoin can be easily predicted using technical analysis figures, making your trading more profitable. Bitcoin is the most profitable instrument for trading in USD.
Right now, the leverage for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies at OctaFX is set to 1:2, which is more than enough considering the high volatility of that instrument. Apart from that, you also can trade Bitcoin in micro lots (0.01) which allows planning your trading budget effectively. OctaFX sets the amount of 1 lot to 1 Bitcoin, which is comparatively low and requires less investment.
ETHEREUM – INVEST IN THE FUTURE Ethereum is the second most interesting instrument to trade in USD. Nowadays there are more and more ways to buy Ethereum for fiat without changing it into Bitcoins. That means that the price of Ethereum is now less dependent on the Bitcoin price compared to other cryptocurrencies. It can be considered an independent instrument.
Ethereum is a system to support smart contract technologies to invest in the ICOs of new start-up companies. The more start-ups are interested in Ethereum – the more expensive it becomes.
To analyze the price of the Ethereum it’s wise to research how many ICO contracts are about to be issued in exchange for Ethereum. Compare results with existing data – the more contracts, the higher the price. It’s also good to pay attention to news about other cryptocurrencies supporting ICOs and competing with Ethereum. The most important competitors are Waves and Bitshares. Technical analysis figures work well with Ethereum too.
Combining that information with the Ethereum’s volatility of the last few months, Ethereum can sometimes lead to more profit than with Bitcoin.
LITECOIN – CRYPTO SILVER Litecoin was first issued in 2011 and is quite similar to Bitcoin. If Bitcoin can be defined as the ‘gold’ of today’s cryptocurrencies, this makes Litecoin the ‘silver’.
Litecoin provides secure and fast transactions inside the blockchain, with the ability to purchase goods on the internet. The main difference from Bitcoin (and the central benefit of Litecoin) is the capability of processing much higher volumes in one transaction. While Bitcoin can only have up to 21 million coins, Litecoin offers four times as many – 84 million.
The Litecoin price now greatly depends on Bitcoin. That makes it possible to use the Pairs trading strategy with Bitcoin as the main currency to successfully forecast Litecoin changes.
One lot at OctaFX equals 100 Litecoin.
There’s currently a lot of talk around cryptocurrencies – some predict a fast rise and a dramatic fall, while others are confident that they are the currency of the future.
Sounds interesting? You can keep reading the hottest news and best articles on cryptocurrency, but you’ll get much closer to understanding how it works by cryptocurrency trading. So what are you waiting for? Start getting profit from crypto right now!
https://www.fxempire.com/news/article/trade-cryptocurrency-bitcoin-ethereum-cfds-forex-market-485383
submitted by wcriptnews to u/wcriptnews [link] [comments]

FXCM CEO Drew Niv Discusses Firm's Future after the CHF Crisis

Hi Everyone,
Our CEO Drew Niv held a Q&A with Forex Magnates which will answer many questions we have received over the past couple of weeks http://forexmagnates.com/exclusive-fxcm-inc-ceo-drew-niv-discusses-firms-future-after-the-chf-crisis/. Please understand that some questions I can't answer since we are a publicly traded company and it may be material information, but we will get to all questions in due time.
What happened on January 15th after the SNB announcement? What was the immediate impact of the SNB announcement on the company’s systems?
At the time of the SNB announcement over 3,000 FXCM clients held slightly over $1 billion in open positions on EUCHF. Those same clients held approximately $80 million of collateral in their accounts. As you know this was the largest move of a major currency since currencies started floating 1971.
The EUCHF move was 44 standard deviation moves, while most risk management systems only contemplate 3-6 standard deviations. The moved wiped out those clients’ account equity as well as generated negative equity balances owed to FXCM of over $225 million. We believe that the FXCM system operated properly during this event.
The caveat of our no dealing-desk execution system is that traders are offset one for one with a liquidity provider. When a client entered a EUCHF trade with FXCM, FXCM Inc. had an identical trade with our liquidity providers. During the historic move, liquidity became extremely scarce and shallow, which affected execution prices. This liquidity issue resulted in some clients having a negative balance.
While clients could not cover their margin call with us we still had to cover the same margin call with our banks. When a client profits in the trade FXCM gives the profits to the customer, however, when the client is not profitable on that trade FXCM Inc. ends up having to pay the liquidity provider.
FXCM ended with a regulatory capital shortfall. Accordingly, FXCM needed to get a loan to cover this balance, which it did. For anyone that still thinks FXCM is running an FX dealing desk, we have now demonstrated that such is not the case.
Why do you think many people traded EUCHF with FXCM?
Because we are a no dealing-desk broker and offset each trade one-for-one with our liquidity providers, and only make money on trades not customer losses. We published a study a few years ago called “traits of successful traders” that looked at FXCM traders over a long period of time and their general behavior to find what was destructive behavior to stay away from and what worked for clients.
The study focuses on what the majority of profitable traders did to increase their odds of success. What the study found was that traders who traded during quiet range-bound market hours like Asian hours OR that traded rang- bound low volatility currency pairs tended to be more profitable.
Obviously many of our competitors who are on the opposite side of their clients’ trades did not find this trade to be helpful to their bottom line, as they lose money when traders profit. We saw many of the dealing desk firms begin to increase overnight rollover cost as well as raise margin requirements to get these trades off their system and that’s why FXCM and other STP brokers had much bigger exposure.
Why did FXCM require an emergency loan with such tough terms?
As a regulated broker we are required to notify our regulators in a timely manner when any event occurs that may be deemed sensitive to clients. When we notified the regulators, they required FXCM Inc.’s regulated entities to supplement their respective net capital on an expedited basis.
We explored multiple debt and equity financing alternatives in an effort to meet the regulator’s deadline. The deal we ended up doing with Leucadia was the only deal that could and would happen in the very short timeframe we were given by the regulators. The CEO and the president of Leucadia were here in the office working on the deal.
It was a tall order for someone outside of the FX industry to come in and write a $300 million dollar check. This was the type of thing only top management could do. But they see the sustainability of FXCM, and that was everyone’s end goal. We really are very thankful to Leucadia. The deal enables us to live and fight another day and gives us time to build shareholder value in the future.
You said you plan to pay back the loan with proceeds from sales of non-core assets so what are non-core assets and will that be enough?
We announced last week that we anticipate that with the proceeds from the sale of some non-core assets and continued earnings we can meet both near and long-term obligations of our financing, while preserving the strength of our franchise. It’s widely known and understood that FXCM’s core business has always been retail FX; It is the majority of FXCM’s revenue.
However, over the past few years, the company has spent over $250 million dollars making strategic acquisitions building up our non-core businesses, mainly the institutional side as we tried to diversify the firm. We are now looking to sell some of those non-core assets; But, we are not in a rush and are looking to get the highest valuations for these assets.
We are considering closing or selling smaller regulated entities that require large sums of capital requirements, but that offer increasingly low return on capital. The latter move allows us to free up significant amounts of cash that is currently trapped. We believe that in the near term we can pay down a majority of the loan. That’s our goal.
What happens after 90 days according to your agreement with Leucadia?
The agreement says we need to pay back $50 million of the loan along with $10 million in fees in 90 days. If we don’t pay that $60 million, we will be assessed an additional $30 million in fees when the loan is due in 2017. So we are going to pay our $60 million and hopefully more in 90 days and then go from there. To be clear, the financing does not force us to do anything at 90 days.
Will you be selling FXCM?
I absolutely do not plan on selling FXCM. Like I said we will be selling non-core assets but no I don’t plan on selling FXCM. That is also why we implemented the shareholder rights plan to prevent a hostile takeover. FXCM has been independent for over 15 years and we intend to stay that way.
Are client funds safe with FXCM?
Yes. As we have said, we believe FXCM’s systems operated properly during this event. I’ll stress it here again, FXCM is not insolvent, has not filed for any form of bankruptcy, and is in compliance with all regulatory capital requirements in the jurisdictions in which it operates. The financing we received from Leucadia has strengthened our balance sheet and gives us the opportunity to grow our core business. With Leucadia, our pockets are even deeper and we aren’t going anywhere. Additionally, all of our regulated entities except the U.S. provide clients with segregated funds. All of our global client base in our regulated entities minus US clients would be protected under a bankruptcy. Our UK regulated entity through the FSCS even offers clients £50,000 per person in protection. Canada has similar insurance for retail traders of up to $1 million CAD.
What are the relationships like with your liquidity providers after this event?
Many of these relationships are long-standing relationships. The entire industry took a hit here. They understand what happened. Most everyone halted trading in EUCHF, but half of our liquidity providers kept providing prices in all other pairs the entire time. Half of the LPs did stop pricing FXCM on Friday January 16th, but most have returned. We presently only have two providers that have not yet returned, but we are optimistic that they will soon return. There is still plenty of liquidity on the platform. Most banks and other liquidity providers have been working very closely with the FXCM team.
Where do you see FXCM in six months from now?
We will be well on our way to paying down the loan and continue to grow our core franchise. FXCM still has the best platform for retail traders, we still provide the fairest and more transparent execution in the business and we have a slew of new trading indicators and applications that no one in the space is even considering offering their clients. We’ll still be here; We may just look a little different. Here are a few things we are working to get out in the next six months:
Single Share CFDs – We are going to be offering the top 200 or so most traded US, UK, French and German stocks. We are going to offer these shares on the equivalent of NDD in FX.
Improving CFD execution – Sharpening execution capabilities to match some of the benefits of our FX capabilities for Index and Energy CFDs to remove restrictions on stops and limits, allowing APIs, along with tighter spreads.
Market Depth in FX – clients will be able to see the depth of liquidity which will provide them more transparency with execution quality and allow them to make more informed trading decisions.
Real Volume indicators – clients will have a real volume ticker of all trades done on the FXCM system, which will show clients’ actual order flow; they can see directional volume, so long, short, net or total volume as well as balance on volume per instrument; and finally we have an indicator to show the ratio of real volume divided into transactions per period. These indicators will let clients compare our trading activity against other independent providers who also publish volumes like the CME, and clients will be able to compare execution.
Sentiment Index – We will be providing FXCM’s client sentiment data in real-time as a default on the platform so clients can see where the rest of the clients are.
These software updates and platform features are bringing much more transparency to the retail FX market aimed at improving the client experience in the market.
With your stock price so low, is that an indication of the health of your company?
While it is true that FXCM’s stock price dropped after the events of January 15th, we do not believe that the present stock price is indicative of the health of the company. The stock price does not impact our day to day operations as a company. With the injection of cash from the Leucadia financing, the core retail business is functioning completely as normal. We have excess regulatory capital in all our regulated entities and never had to pause trading or interrupt client’s trading experience. As we announced in our business update, daily volume on the retail side was on pace to set an all-time company record.
Why didn’t the dealing desk brokers have these types of losses?
A dealing desk broker does not have offsetting trades. If the customer is long a trade the broker is short that trade, so when the customer makes a profit on a trade the broker loses. When the customer loses on the trade then the broker is profitable.
Obviously on January 15th most clients lost money so the dealer was very profitable. Even for clients that blew through their stops and had negative balances with these firms, the dealer doesn’t have a liquidity provider that it owes money to. They can essentially act like the negative balances never happened and enjoy their profits.
What is FXCM changing with regards to their risk management systems?
The primary change we will be making is removing currency pairs from the platform that carry significant risk due to over-active manipulation by their respective government either by a floor, ceiling, peg or band. Given what happened with EUCHF the industry is now looking very hard at any potentially similar issues, especially given the increased geopolitical risks in Southern and Eastern Europe.
We will also be raising margin requirements for other pairs as well. Some of these changes will be permanent while others may change as geopolitical risks change. The pairs we are removing from the platform were not material to our volume or our revenue. Some of the currencies we are removing include DKK, SGD, HKD, PLN and CZK.
FXCM made some material changes in margin requirements for clients. Are those changes permanent or temporary in nature?
When you look at some of the changes we made to margin requirements, look at them in three different categories: 1. Some of the changes we made were required by regulators, and therefore we had to comply with these changes. 2. When you look at emerging market currencies, the banks and our liquidity providers were raising margin requirements to eliminate any potential risk of large gaps. 3. Previously liquid Western country currencies, like the DKK or CHF, which now carry risk because they are manipulated currencies, have become less liquid.
Despite what the media thinks about leverage, we know the clients like it and want more, it’s the number 1 or number 2 request our sales staff has been getting the past week. We understand the importance of this to our clients but we just need to be smart about it moving forward.
What is Black Thursday’s long-term impact on the retail foreign exchange industry? In what ways has it changed the direction the industry is going?
Banks are raising their margin requirements, too. A lot of these currencies that carry any type of geopolitical risk with them are going to lose support and liquidity. Investors always had little faith in emerging market currencies but always believed in Western countries’ currencies even if they were manipulated in some way, but that’s gone.
Switzerland is a Western country and if they can pull the shenanigans they did with their currency, what’s to say other western countries won’t do the same? The market is going to be very sceptical as they can only stand to lose; The risk is just too high now. It’s too bad really as these pairs historically had low volatility, were range-bound and were very profitable trades for clients.
submitted by JasonRogers to Forex [link] [comments]

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